Saturday, October 13, 2012

Texas Tech v. W. Virginia

For the third week in a row, the Mountaineers of West Virginia will defend their crown against an opponent from Texas.  After wins over Baylor (70-63) and Texas (48-45), WVU is now the number 5 team in the nation.  But Texas Tech (4-1) has a pretty decent team, with a very good coach (Tommy Tuberville), and home-field advantage.  Certainly the Red Raiders won't be worried about WVU's defense, which has been pretty dreadful all year.

WVU and TTU both have a sort of passionate underdog quality that should make them spiritual soul mates, but this will only be their second meeting.  In the 1938 Sun Bowl, WVU beat Texas Tech 7-6.  My guess is that the two teams will score more points than that today,

Vegas thinks we're going to get a great game today.  WVU is favored by 4 points, and the over-under is 77 or 78.  That translates to a WVU victory by the score of 41-37, which sounds too low to me.  But the markets are probably assuming that at some point, WVU's magnificent offense has to slow down somewhat.

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