Saturday, November 15, 2014

Kansas v. Texas Christian

I apologize, UCFC fans, but I really thought this game kicked off at 6:30 Central Time.  Anyway, here are the current standings in the Big XII (AP rankings in parentheses):

(6) Baylor:  5-1, 8-1
(5) Texas Christian:  5-1, 8-1
(13) Kansas St:  5-1, 7-2
Texas:  4-3, 5-5
W. Virginia:  4-3, 6-4
Oklahoma:  3-3, 6-3
Oklahoma St:  3-3, 5-4
Texas Tech:  1-5, 3-6
Kansas:  1-5, 3-6
Iowa St:  0-6, 2-7

In the race for the Big XII Title, Texas Christian's advantage is that they have already played Baylor and Kansas State.  Here are their last three games (home games in all caps):

11/15:  at Kansas
11/27:  at Texas
12/6:  IOWA STATE

On the other hand, Baylor's advantage is that they beat Texas Christian 61-58, and they have K-State at home.  Here's what they have left:

11/22:  OKLAHOMA ST.
11/29:  Texas Tech (Arlington, Tex.)
12/6:  KANSAS ST.
Tex
Kansas State has no advantages -- their remaining schedule includes two difficult games:

11/20:  at W. Virginia
11/29:  KANSAS
12/6:  at Baylor

Based on these games, it seems likely that Baylor will finish 8-1 and win the Big XII Championship (and a slot in the NCAA playoffs) based on their win over Texas Christian.

Nevertheless, Texas Christian still has a lot to play for.  If Baylor stumbles, and Texas Christian wins out, then the Horned Frogs will make the playoffs.  There's even a distant possibility that both Baylor and Texas Christian could get in.  And no matter what happens, an 11-1 season, a tie for first place in the Big XII, and the UCFC are nothing to sneeze at.

Meanwhile, Kansas fans are probably much more interested in their basketball game with Kentucky on Tuesday night than in their shot at the Big Gold Trophy.  The Jayhawks lost their first five Big XII games before beating Iowa State last Saturday, and they still have to play Texas Christian, Oklahoma, and Kansas State.  KU is a 28-point underdog in a game where the over-under is 55 1/2 points.  That would work out to a 42-14 Horned Frog victory.

For most of football history, Texas Christian and Kansas were in different conferences, so they have only a limited history with each other.  The Horned Frogs lead the all-time series 18-8-4, and they have won both match-ups since Texas Christian joined the Big XII.

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