Oklahoma St. v. Texas Christian

So here are the standings in the Big XII (AP rankings in parentheses):

(2) Baylor:  5-0, 8-0
(5) Texas Christian:  5-0, 8-0
(12) Oklahoma St:  5-0, 8-0
(14) Oklahoma:  4-1, 7-1
Iowa St:  2-3, 3-5
Texas:  2-3, 3-5
Texas Tech:  2-4, 5-4
W. Virginia: 0-4, 3-4
Kansas St.:  0-5, 3-5
Kansas:  0-5, 0-8

Now that the preliminary games are out of the way, we are down to a round robin in November between Baylor, Texas Christian, Oklahoma St., and Oklahoma.  This round robin will decide who takes the UCFC into bowl season, who wins the Big XII, and whether anyone from the Big XII makes the playoffs.  Here is the schedule (home teams listed first):

November 7:  Oklahoma St. v. Texas Christian; Oklahoma v. Iowa St.
November 14:  Baylor v. Oklahoma; Texas Christian v. Kansas; Iowa St. v. Oklahoma St.
November 21:  Oklahoma St. v. Baylor; Oklahoma v. Texas Christian
November 27-28:  Texas Christian v. Baylor; Oklahoma St. v. Oklahoma

Now as you can see, Oklahoma State has a huge advantage here -- they get to play all three of their round-robin games at home.  By contrast, each of the other three contenders has to play two of their round-robin games on the road.  In our years of watching Big XII play, we have seen that home field advantage is enormous in this conference.  And Oklahoma State has played well all year.  The Cowboys had close wins at Texas (30-27), at home against Kansas St. (36-34), and at West Virginia (33-26).  But then they crushed Kansas 58-10 at home, and whacked Texas Tech 70-53 in Lubbock, Tex.  They will be very formidable at home against the Horned Frogs.

The oddsmakers believe in Texas Christian.  The Frogs are favored by 6 1/2 points in a game where the over-under is 76 1/2.  That would work out to something like a 42-35 win for the Frogs.  My guess is that Texas Christian coach Gary Patterson would be very happy with that outcome.